This market will resolve YES if, on January 6th, 2025, there is a significant security breach at the U.S. Capitol. A "significant security breach" is defined as unauthorized individuals entering secured or restricted areas (e.g., the Senate or House chambers, Capitol offices) or physical damage to the Capitol building, such as forced entry, broken windows, or vandalism. The market will resolve NO if no such breach occurs.
Examples of YES:
Protesters break through security barriers and enter restricted areas like the House or Senate chambers.
Significant damage is inflicted on Capitol property, such as broken windows or forced entry, leading to evacuation.
Examples of NO:
Protests occur but are confined to public areas without breaching restricted zones.
There are no instances of vandalism, forced entry, or significant security breaches.
More "J6" markets here:
January 6th: Congress Counts Electoral Votes
Feel free to comment any news or questions you have!
I find the delta between these two markets at time of posting interesting.
https://manifold.markets/pluffASMR/will-law-enforcement-use-tear-gas-o
