Dems lose California or New York by 2028?
Plus
5
Ṁ41382028
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves “Yes” if the Democratic Party loses the popular vote in either California or New York in the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election, based on official state-certified results. If the Democrats win the popular vote in both states, the market resolves “No.”
Resolution Date & Time: November 2028, or once official results are certified, by 23:59 PST.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Democrats win big in 2024? || Will "downfall of America will really speed up" during 2024-2028?
Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?
34% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
54% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
52% chance
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
51% chance
Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?
54% chance
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
55% chance
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
49% chance
Democrats win 2028 election?
54% chance
Will Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
16% chance