Trump and Loomer relationship by Dec 31, 2025?

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2026

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Resolution Criteria: The question will resolve to "Yes" if credible evidence is publicly presented confirming that Donald Trump Sr and Laura Loomer are in or had a sexual relationship by December 31, 2025. If no such evidence is provided by this date, it will resolve to "No."

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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7mo

That's so far away

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!

Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why should I trade?

Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.

Trade with Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.

Get started for free! No credit card required.

What are sweepstakes markets?

There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.

By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.

As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.

Learn more.

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