Will Grizzly Bears be removed from the endangered-species list for any U.S. ecosystem by EOY 2024?
Will Grizzly Bears be removed from the endangered-species list for any U.S. ecosystem by EOY 2024?
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Resolves YES if Grizzly Bears are removed from the the endangered-species list in any applicable U.S. ecosystem. Petitions to the USFWS are ongoing in the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem and in the Northern Continental Divide Ecosystem.
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I don’t think the FWS will move that fast
Inspired by this article: https://www.economist.com/united-states/2023/12/05/how-the-culture-wars-came-for-grizzly-bears
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
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