who will Tucker Carlson have on his show (interview or as a guest) by the end of 2024?
Mini
46
Ṁ9292
Jan 1
52%
Donald Trump
51%
Alex Jones
10%
Any Manifold User
Resolved
YES
Elon Musk
Resolved
YES
Vivek Ramaswamy
Resolved
YES
Megyn Kelly
Resolved
YES
JD Vance
Resolved
YES
RFK Jr.
Resolved
YES
Vladimir Putin
Resolved
YES
Someone representing the Julian Assange case (sibling, spouse, legal representation, or other person close to Assange)
Resolved
YES
Tara Reade

add your own responses - I've started with a couple that I think are low hanging fruit.

Tucker Carlson has been pretty consistent with his show on twitter/X since it launched in June 2023. in some episodes, he features guest interviews including: Andrew Tate, Candace Owens, Ice Cube, RFK Jr., Vivek Ramaswamy, Javier Milei, Donald Trump, Kevin Spacey, Martin Shkreli, and others.

episodes of his show get tens of millions of views on twitter, and I haven't seen any indication that he'll move elsewhere. still, this market is for his show regardless of platform.

  • market creation 25 December 2023 - only future episodes count.

  • only guests added to the list before the episode airs will resolve

  • if he has a past guest on for an entirely new episode, this resolves yes. (feel free to re-add previous guests if you believe they'll be on again before 2024 ends)

  • this market only resolves for guests on Tucker's own show, not anyone he interviews elsewhere in this time period.

  • please comment here for swift resolution so I don't need to stay hyper-tuned to Tucker Carlson for an entire year

it's an election year. I imagine he'll keep himself pretty busy here.

  • Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification Details:

    • Specific Guest Identity: Only the guest matching the particular person intended by the creator qualifies. For example, if Tucker Carlson hosts someone named Alex Jones who is not the intended individual, that appearance does not count.

    • Evidence Requirement: The creator is actively verifying claims for guests such as Trump or a guest with an active Manifold account. In the absence of clear evidence of their appearance on a 2024 episode, such cases will resolve as No.

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@traders any evidence that Trump made an appearance on any of his 2024 shows? on a cursory search I believe this is no but checking in.

funnily enough, Carlson did have an Alex Jones on the show but it wasn't the Alex Jones 😂 resolving this No as it's clear I meant a particular person here, but calling it out ahead of time.

manifold user? any guests with an active manifold account that you know of? I'll give it a couple of days for evidence then resolving No.

@shankypanky Resolution time

He interviewed Elon on election night

sorry for the delay folks, I was on a little break from the site for a while

JD Vance
reposted

bumpoooooooo

Interesting wrinkle market!

Tara Reade
bought Ṁ100 Tara Reade YES

@shankypanky Resolves YES

@CharlieBauer nice catch

Someone representing the Julian Assange case (sibling, spouse, legal representation, or other person close to Assange)
Vladimir Putin
bought Ṁ500 Vladimir Putin YES
jskfboughtṀ10Vladimir Putin NO

@jskf y tho

@shankypanky I'm too lazy to check if the interview already happened. If it hasn't I think he's trading way too high, so I assume it has, which is why I only put in 10 cents.

bought Ṁ10 Vladimir Putin NO

@jskf I love lotto tickets

lmao god I hope herd mentality kicks in so I can profit even more

anyone else buying lotto tickets?

@VAPOR added!

@shankypanky oh no, I was just tagging him out of some kind of snark, he's talked in many podcasts of his intention to get Putin on, because he's Russian and it would be explosive I guess.

Tucker got in there first while he has not. It's only because he's on manifold, I think lex is aight

@VAPOR ah okay. I know Lex has talked about wanting to meet VP and VZ for a long long time now. He tweeted about it today, and said he'll have Tucker on soon.

@shankypanky thanks I'll listen to that, I'm behind on Twitter and podcasts in general

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bought Ṁ10 Answer #4ac824ecafde NO
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