At the end of 2024, how many Atlantic hurricane names will be retired for that season?
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12
Ṁ1030
Jan 1
1.5%
0
9%
1
17%
2
48%
3
25%
4 or more
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bought Ṁ5 4 or more YES

Per wikipedia Debby, Beryl each have estimated economic damages in the billions. That puts the current expected total of retired hurricane names to 2; it's possible to retire tropical storm names but the question title specifically mentions hurricanes so I am not going to consider those. I am assuming this market will count Atlantic and Hurricane names landfalling along the Gulf coast under the category of 'Atlantic'.

Purely climatologically I expect 50% chance of no more landfalling hurricanes along the Gulf or Atlantic Coast, 35% of 1 more, and 15% of 2 or more. It's a very sketchy proxy but I'll use that for rough probabilities.

bought Ṁ20 3 YES

Francine's economic toll will probably also be in the billions based on its intensity and track... bringing the total up to 3... This is just a guess however..

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first one this year - beryl

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Edit oops thought it said 2023