🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (5/100 DONE)
🆒CoolFold 100 Challenge: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) in chronological order? (5/100 DONE)
âž•
Plus
190
Ṁ37k
2120
7%
Grand Theft Auto 6 releases
7%
New Pope after Francis
9%
USA discontinues or changes penny coin
9%
Death Stranding 2 releases
10%
Book of Mormon ends on Broadway
10%
Shrek 5 releases
12%
Russia / Ukraine conflict ceasefire
14%
Another MLB perfect game pitched
16%
1300 Pokemon Released
17%
Sagrada Familia Church completed
17%
The first $5T market cap company
17%
Skibidi Toilet ends
18%
a USA president impeached again
18%
One piece manga ends
18%
Human runs official marathon under 2h
18%
Uber OR Lyft bankrupt / acquired / ceases
20%
Putin no longer in power in Russia
20%
Another Five Nights at Freddy's movie comes out
22%
Human walks on moon again
22%
Manifold reaches 20K MAU

README: Each answer will resolve to a percent as they happen, starting with 1% for the first event and working upwards:

  • 1st event: 1% (happens soonest)

  • 2nd event: 2% (happens next)

    ...

  • 100th event: 100% (happens latest)

If there is only one unresolved answer left, it will be resolved to 100% YES even if that event does not actually happen, since we could we waiting for a very long time.

If there is a renumbering or new product (eg. the next Civilization game after 6 is named something else) I'll update the answers the best I can in the spirit of the question, a lot will change over 100+ years.

If an option becomes impossible, ask and I'll try to clarify in the answer text. If it cannot be done in a good way, we'll NA that option.

For the future mods that have to deal with this good luck.

#News
#Culture
#Release Dates
#Grab Bag
#Long-term Markets
#CoolFold
#Timelines
#Challenge
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
26 Comments
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15d

@strutheo By American copyright law? It seems at least Love Me Do entered the public domain in the EU in 2013.

1mo

@strutheo Released Feb. 11, resolves 5%

reposted 3mo

This is one of my favorite markets, 4/100 events done so far.

bought Ṁ500 Answer #843191639a43 NO4mo

@strutheo Bitcoin has hit 100k

4mo

@strutheo Mario 64 has a 120 star speedrun in 1:35:28

https://www.speedrun.com/sm64

5mo

@strutheo

5mo

120 star just hit

9mo

shrek 5 just announced for 2026 some time

9mo

apparently likely to happen some time after the US adds the 52nd state

bought Ṁ10 Answer #f4dbd1995b44 NO9mo

Haha, I'll arb that

1y
The first $5T market cap company
10mo

coming up soon

10mo

Happening Thursday

10mo

good find haha

11mo

uhoh (not canceled yet though!)

1y
Sagrada Familia Church completed
1y

theyre now claiming end of 2026 for this

reposted 1y

our first resolution 67 days after creation !

1y

Just clarifying — would this mean:

(A) [the previous incarnation that comes BEFORE the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the 20th Doctor],

or

(B) [the 20th Doctor] regenerating into [the next incarnation that comes AFTER the 20th Doctor]?

And a similar "(A) or (B)?" for the "25th Doctor" question.

1y

@PaintspotInfez the 20th one is revealed and becomes the new one , is what i meant

1y

@strutheo - so (A) presumably. Got it! :D

1y

the more i learn about this, it might have happened before the question was made, so i might NA/make another

reposted 1y

so close to our first one finally!

1y

@strutheo What's the licensing agreement look like for, "Coolfold?"

@KeenenWatts haha you can dm me, anything in the true spirit of coolfold can use the #coolfold tag (maybe not be an official CoolFold challenge though)

reposted 1y

looking like sweden might be the first one!

1y

@strutheo does anything which hasn't happened by 2120 resolve 100%, or will this market be extended?

1y

@DanielTilkin im fine with it going on forever, thats for another generation to decide tbh

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