Which state will be the last to decriminalize marijuana in the United States?
Which state will be the last to decriminalize marijuana in the United States?
Mini
9
Ṁ1602041
1D
1W
1M
ALL
13%
Indiana
13%
Utah
12%
11%
Tennessee
9%
Iowa
8%
Texas
7%
Wyoming
7%
Idaho
6%
Oklahoma
6%
South Carolina
3%
Georgia
2%
Kansas
1.8%
Wisconsin
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answered11mo
Indiana
bought Ṁ3 Indiana YES11mo
https://ballotpedia.org/States_with_initiative_or_referendum
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cannabis_in_the_United_States#/media/File:Map_of_US_state_cannabis_laws.svg
Seems likely the answer is a state with no referendums and a permanently enmeshed R trifecta. Tennessee and Indiana fit this criteria.
@AndersSandberg good point - ill resolve to a split percentage i think on this type of market (so 4 would be 25% each)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
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