Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?
Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?
Plus
15
Ṁ4182028
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Only the USA and four countries in Europe (Germany, Austria, Hungary, Czech Republic) currently allow people to be paid for donating their blood plasma. Other countries have been reconsidering due to shortages and over-reliance on plasma imports from the USA.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
Will any democratic nation implement a legal framework for compensating living organ donors by 2034?
77% chance
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2025?
12% chance
Will any EU country implement a universal basic income before 2030?
24% chance
Will any EU country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
47% chance
Will the End Kidney Deaths Act or similar legislation providing at least $25k to kidney donors pass in 2025?
35% chance
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2027?
36% chance
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will the EU regulate geo-blocking of copyright protected content by EOY 2027?
52% chance
Will it be easy for members of the general public to get proteomics of their own blood for <$500 by EOY 2024?
37% chance
Will artificial blood be used to treat a patient by the end of 2028?
50% chance