Will Israel launch a war on Hezbollah before the end of 2024?
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Plus
304
Ṁ260k
Jan 1
61%
chance

Resolves YES if

  • Formal declaration of war on Lebanon or Hezbollah

  • Announcement or commencement of ground operations into Lebanon to combat Hezbollah

#🇮🇱 Israel
#Arab-Israeli Conflict
#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict
#️ Wars
#Geopolitics
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Iranian ambassador got his dick torn off, true or hoax, who knows? does it matter? not at all.

@beaver1 t'is but a scratch!

reposted

upgraded to PLUS

bought Ṁ50 YES

It is unfortunately the fate of today's Israelian politics.

Another order to fill, let yourself be tempted

opened a Ṁ3,000 YES at 60% order

Fill me please

…

related /strutheo/one-month-from-today-will-israel-ha-frtw7bgamf

bought Ṁ399 YES

Things are warming up

The analogy you're looking for is energy, not temperature. Things are rolling downhill.

Potentially

opened a Ṁ4,000 YES at 60% order

It looks like a ground invasion is imminent.

o shit

Based on what? It's been "imminent" for >6 months

bought Ṁ68 NO

The only thing getting IMMINENTLY INVADED is your wallet !!

o shit!

There was a recent major attack where people died.

Eric…. my dear

bought Ṁ250 NO

I assume it's about first formally declaring, not just starting to fight.

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-807039

lol

/strutheo/one-month-from-today-will-israel-ha

bought Ṁ150 YES

Missile and rocket alerts across Sea of Galilee towns this morning. The furthest Hezbollah aimed into Israel so far. With Gantz having left the government and Netanyahu having to rely on Ben Gvir and Smotrich who already called for war against Hezbollah, I think it's much more likely now.

Please check the following market, it seems to be miscalibrated relative to this one.

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