Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?
Plus
31
αΉ27722029
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
resolves YES if
trump formally announces a campaign for the 2028 election, whether or not it is legal at the time
other republicans campaign trump as a party candidate
he wins the 2028 election, even if he does not formally announce he is running
resolves NO if
trump announces he will not run for a 3rd term by market close
this market will resolve NO if legislation is introduced/passed that makes a 3rd term legally possible, but trump decides not to run by the end of the election
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Sort by:
This market but more shenanigans allowed:
https://manifold.markets/TimothyBandors/will-trump-win-a-third-term-as-pres
Related questions
Related questions
Trump seriously attempts 3rd term in 2028?
37% chance
If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
51% chance
Will Trump get a third term in office?
6% chance
Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
10% chance
How many times will Donald Trump mention the possibility of a third term in public statements before June 30th, 2025?
Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
52% chance
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
17% chance
Will Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?
11% chance
If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?
61% chance
Trump tries to serve a third term?
32% chance