Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
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Resolves yes if he formally pardons himself. No if he doesn't.

  • Update 2025-08-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump formally pardons himself but the pardon is later found unconstitutional, the market will still resolve Yes. Resolution is based on the action of pardoning, not the legality or validity of the pardon.

#πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Politics
#Trump
#Trump's Second Term
#Republican Party
#Pardon Markets
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Does it count if he toots loudly and then leans into the mic and says "pardon me".

@BlackCrusade Hi. The market would resolve "Yes" in this case.

If a pardon is granted and later found unconstitutional?

@MartinRandall Apologies for the delay. If he formally pardons himself but it is later found unconstitutional the question will still resolve to "Yes". It's just based on the action, not the legality.

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