Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.
The shooter was a student for one semester at a university before going to technical college, does that count?
@AndrewHebb Unless specified otherwise, assume yes. You can't have a complete bullet without the casing.
@ac80 Everything I can find online suggests that this is incorrect and that the term "bullet" properly refers to something other than the cartridge case.
@Lorelai Unbelievable. A young man who doesn’t share his parents’ politics.
Coming from a Utahn here. People seem to think everyone here is conservative. That's not true, we do have a (somewhat loud) minority of Democrat-leaning people, which obviously becomes a majority in the cities. I've seen people say he must be a Republican since he's in Utah, which seems misinformed. (Also, why would a Republican shoot Charlie). Just something to keep in mind (although I think most people already know that this makes sense)
@Mrdudeguy I'm pretty sure its practically confirmed he was registered as an independent.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/who-is-tyler-robinson-suspect-charlie-kirks-murder-2025-09-12/
"He was a registered voter but was not affiliated with a political party, according to voter records. He is listed as an "inactive" voter, which indicates he did not cast a ballot in last year's presidential election, when Republican Donald Trump defeated Democrat Kamala Harris."
@256 I’m not entirely sure what this passage concretely describes but:
The suspect was taken into custody at about 11 p.m. on Thursday in Washington County, in southwestern Utah, after surrendering at a sheriff’s office, officials said.
“When our investigators got down there, they were able to peacefully make contact with him and move through that process of making the arrest,” Beau Mason, Utah’s public safety commissioner, said in an interview. “He was very compliant with that.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/12/us/tyler-robinson-charlie-kirk-shooting-suspect.html
@MachiNi they knocked him out with their rifle butts and then he was compliant through the remainder of the process
Beau Mason, Utah’s public safety commissioner, said the 22-year-old accused of Charlie Kirk’s killing surrendered to law enforcement officers at a sheriff’s office in southwest Utah. “When our investigators got down there, they were able to peacefully make contact with him and move through that process of making the arrest,” Mason said in an interview. “He was very compliant with that.” Mason added that the suspect’s family “did a great job of helping him come to a positive resolution to turn himself in.”
The police themselves are literally saying he surrendered and turned himself in.
@MachiNi This market may be of interest https://manifold.markets/vdb/which-methods-will-the-police-use-t
Not sure how credible the source is, but sounds like he was raised as Mormon
https://x.com/DavidShuster/status/1966576856515203480
David Shuster is a fairly reliable resource here
@Gabrielle Then why would he have Bella Ciao song and "Hey fascist, catch!" on the casings? Is it all a false flag? I don't believe this unless some serious evidence comes up.
@ac80 Apparently both parts of groyper culture, with Bella being "reclaimed" and Catch being a Helldivers reference. I don't know a thing about it but that's the argument being made.
@TheAllMemeingEye NO, the meaning was a heat of the moment thing. Death sentence is another bet here.