Will Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan publicly announce their separation or divorce before January 1, 2026?
Will Mark Zuckerberg and Priscilla Chan publicly announce their separation or divorce before January 1, 2026?
Mini
31
Ṁ16742026
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve YES if:
Mark Zuckerberg and/or Priscilla Chan publicly announce their separation or divorce through official channels (social media, press release, legal filings, etc.) before January 1, 2026
Credible media outlets report on officially filed divorce or separation documents before January 1, 2026
This market will resolve NO if:
No separation or divorce is announced by January 1, 2026
Either party explicitly denies divorce/separation rumors and no official announcement is made by the resolution date
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What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
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