Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO by the end of 2025?
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115
Ṁ31k
Dec 31
7%
chance

  • Update 2025-02-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Addition:

    • Elon Musk being no longer CEO for any reason (e.g., resignation, termination, forced removal, death) will resolve the market as YES.

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bought Ṁ100 YES

https://www.wsj.com/business/autos/tesla-musk-ceo-search-board-0ce61af9?st=2JsZxs

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g4zp3z1p3o

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cz61vwjel2zo

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 22% order

It feels like Elon is made of Teflon but the nose dive the stock is doing right now updates me towards a shake up.

filled a Ṁ30 YES at 25% order



https://www.ft.com/content/ea2329e4-b4bc-4e2d-be34-e9a8ea31129c

@VictorLi Can you clarify whether if Elon Musk is no longer CEO for any reason (he gets fired, dies, etc) this market will resolve YES? I don’t know whether you mean by “step down” as explicitly he resigns or a catch all for him no longer being CEO.

@parhizj no longer being CEO for any reason would work

Losing the stock-options he was vesting certainly won't help

Is there a reason this market is so much higher than https://manifold.markets/ManifoldMarkets/will-elon-musk-step-down-from-being ?

Will Elon Musk step down from being Tesla CEO before 2024?
8% chance.

@Heliscone It’s another whole year in duration

Edit: TWO whole years!

@Gen Oh yes! I thought it was just one year haha.

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