Will Estonia, Latvia and / or Lithuania decide to send ≥ 300 military personnel to Ukraine by December 1, 2024?
Mini
5
Ṁ210
Dec 27
13%
chance
  • The announcement must be from a Baltic government or military source explicitly stating they are sending ≥ 300 military personnel to Ukraine.

  • The announcement will be sufficient to resolve the question Yes.

  • The personnel must be in Ukraine for the purpose of participating in direct or indirect combat roles (e.g., personnel sent to train and / or advise Ukrainian troops do not count.)

  • The 300 personnel need not come from a single Baltic state.

Examples of indirect military roles:

  • relieving Ukrainian troops on the Russo-Ukraine border;

  • manning artillery and air defence weaponry; and

  • performing supply missions and medical evacuations.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money