The other market (https://manifold.markets/brod/tyler-robinson-noncisnonstraight) depends on the Polymarket criteria's false and transphobic assumption that men who date trans women are gay. Even putting ideology side, we know this to be scientifically false because men who date trans women respond mainly to female not male stimuli, and are additionally attracted to cis women not cis men.
This market will resolves YES on any confirmed evidence within the next 2 months that Tyler Robinson, the Charlie Kirk shooter, is actually non-cis and/or non-straight, such as evidence that he experienced gender dysphoria (whether or not he transitioned), or evidence that he was attracted to men, or evidence that he identified as LGBT.
I will not trade on this market.
โEven putting ideology side, we know this to be scientifically false because men who date trans women respond mainly to female not male stimuli, and are additionally attracted to cis women not cis men.โ Is there any evidence to this? This seems like it would be extremely dependent on the individual
I guess we need an "is Andrew Tate gay?" market that also resolves according to how the other market resolves:
https://x.com/basic_chanel/status/1633034699575644160