Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
Mini
9
Ṁ1772100
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2026?
3% chance
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
38% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
69% chance
Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
73% chance
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
51% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
61% chance
Will we get AGI before 2035?
72% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
75% chance