Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
Plus
16
Ṁ7942100
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will we reach "weak AGI" by the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we have strong AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)
36% chance
Will we get AGI before 2026?
1% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
53% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
37% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
81% chance
Will we get AGI before 2036?
65% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
43% chance
Will we get AGI before 2039?
76% chance