Will Ozempic/GLP-1 Agonists become an issue with a clear partisan divide in the US in the next 5 years?
Will Ozempic/GLP-1 Agonists become an issue with a clear partisan divide in the US in the next 5 years?
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Plus
14
Ṁ1021
2029
39%
chance

Richard Hanania posed the question if we'll see a partisan gap around Ozempic: https://x.com/RichardHanania/status/1842283808890175877

This will resolve YES if during any point in the next 5 years we'll get any data that shows a significant difference in attitude towards Ozempic based on party affiliation. The measure of "significant" and how we capture the attitude is somewhat subjective, so I won't be betting in this market.

If a survey asked a question like "would you ever consider taking Ozempic?", "Is Ozempic an acceptable form of weightloss?" or even "Do you think Ozempic is safe?" (COVID vaccine repeat) and the difference by party is >= 30%, I'd see this as resolved. The core is that the topic of Ozempic has to become politicized. It does not matter which side feels better/worse about Ozempic. What matters is a significant difference in attitude.

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bought Ṁ50 YES3mo

Is it not already? I got the impression the left was more 'for' than 'against', the same as with SSRIs, stimulants, sleeping pills, and other mind-altering chemicals. Was I imagining this?

2mo

@IsaacLinn aren't fat people more right wing in the US?

2mo

@MalachiteEagle Not in my experience lol, I don't think there's a strong correlation

3mo

A survery where? I think that thread is a great example of self-selection bias. The people who feel extremely strongly about the topic are ranting about it on twitter. It is a bit fascinating to see that particular petri dish brewing, but I don't think people outside that space care at all.

3mo

@HarrisonDorn I won't do the survey. It will have to be data by Pew or some other established entity like it. If nobody of repute does a study or poll on this, I will assume that that's because it's not controversial enough yet.

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