What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
What will Trump do during his second term (2025–2029)?
➕
Plus
234
Ṁ42k
Jan 1
96%
Deny Climate Change
95%
Visit a golf course more than 10% of the days he spends in office
90%
Promote the product of a supporter from the Oval Office
90%
Fire someone he nominated to a government position via social media (“fired by tweet”)
89%
Have to have the VP (or someone else) be acting president for any amount of time
89%
Increase US oil production
85%
Post on Social Media that the DOJ should investigate somebody who is subsequently investigated by the DOJ
81%
Shake hands with Putin
81%
Attend at least one current state leader funeral
80%
Call a national emergency for a non-foreign affairs issue
77%
Sign bills with a Sharpie or similar
77%
Threaten a world leader with nuclear attack
76%
Question the effectiveness or safety of vaccines in general
75%
Shake hands with Donald Tusk
72%
Detain large numbers of legal immigrants as part of a program ostensibly targeting illegal immigrants
72%
Exercise
71%
Comment Publicly on the Investment Merits of DJT Stock
70%
Pardon someone with the last name Trump (excluding himself)
68%
Have a net approval below -20% at any point
67%
Use the powers of his office to hurt Elon Musk's competitors

Feel free to add answers. Everything resolves N/A if he loses the 2024 presidential election.

#🇺🇸 US Politics
#Trump
#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election
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25 Comments
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6d

@AndrewG reopen for trading?

2mo

Why did this one resolve yes?

2mo

@TheAllMemeingEye I don’t plan to speak for the OP who resolved it, but u need more evidence than Personal meme coinS rolled out 72 hrs b4 swearing in and then immediate EO on crypto task force?

Private Trump Vance Inauguration Fund paying for unaudited Inauguration event at Trump National

Limited Edition Inauguration Gold Bible licensing fee

Golf at Trump properties within a week

EO to eliminate regulatory reporting of gift

..,

2mo

@VNetChrome cool, thanks, I had forgotten about some of some of these and wasn't aware of others

2mo

@TheAllMemeingEye yeah, I mainly went off the memecoins for him and Melania that, at least on paper, now comprise the majority of their net worth

2mo

Wait why is the market closed?

2mo

@AndrewG Can you extend the market?

3mo

And what else?

https://manifold.markets/JeffBerman/what-will-trump-take-over-first

3mo

@traders Another market limited to the first 100 days can be found here:

bought Ṁ10 Answer #d5glmeasaf NO3mo

@VNetChrome If his net worth is lower when he is out of office does this resolve NO?

3mo

@Shai his family needs to be included given proven past and not to distance history

@VNetChrome Ehh too subjective for me then unless we know exactly which family members. His net worth went down during the first term so I thought it was overvalued.

4mo
Exercise
4mo

@JakeLowery Golf counts as exercise right?

4mo

@SentientTree Not up to me at this point I guess! But for what it’s worth as framing, intent, I would say only if he carries his own bags

4mo

How does resolution work for this kind of market? For instance, I added an answer.. Am I now responsible for deciding the resolution?

4mo

@Siebe No the market creator will resolve, or failing that, the mods.

4mo

Currently at 43%

5mo

@AndrewG hamnhrb?

4mo

@AndrewG What would happen if he orders a covfefe?

.

5mo

@KarlK Does continuing US support for the campaign in Gaza count here?

sold Ṁ49 Answer #e2f867da7dee YES5mo

@SentientTree i.e. whose authority to we defer to in deciding what is or isn't a genocide?

bought Ṁ5 Answer #a477039762b8 YES3mo

This is a good clarifying question. Perhaps we could refer to a Wikipedia page?

5mo

@AndrewG Trump seems to have the opposite stance: https://arstechnica.com/ai/2024/11/trump-victory-signals-major-shakeup-for-us-ai-regulations/

bought Ṁ50 Answer #r2lwzg4g1k NO

@KarlK Do mostly peaceful protesters count?

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