Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Mini
32
Ṁ48702027
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10%
Democrats control Congress
60%
Democrats control House, Republicans control Senate
0.6%
Republicans control House, Democrats control Senate
30%
Republicans control Congress
Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution will be based on the Wikipedia page for the United States Congress: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress.
Independents will be counted based on which party they caucus with.
A tie in the Senate will be resolved by the Vice President's party.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
@EvanDaniel I will resolve according to this Wikipedia page, once the results are finalized:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress
The two independent senators caucus with the Democrats and that's how they're counted, so I assume the same would apply for the House.
Yes, a senate tie resolves according to the Vice President's party.
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
Democrats gain Senate seats in 2026 midterm elections?
64% chance
Outcome of the 2028 Presidential Election
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
39% chance
Will 2026 turnout exceed 2022? (US midterms, percentage)
82% chance
Will the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?
77% chance
Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?