Will Trump do a good job?
Mini
3
Ṁ140
2029
8%
Republican Trifecta
8%
Democratic Trifecta
50%
Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress
34%
Republican wins Presidency and not Congress

In this market, 'doing a good job' leads to Republicans winning more elections. This market resolves to the outcome that best matches the results of the 2028 Presidential Election and Congressional elections. If Donald J. Trump does not win the presidency in 2024, this market will resolve immediately to N/A. The choices are 'Democratic Trifecta', 'Republican Trifecta', 'Democrat wins Presidency and not Congress', and 'Republican wins Presidency and not Congress'.

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What happens if Congress is split?

@Gabrielle That's under not winning congress

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