If Trump wins, will his first year in office be 'a complete shit show'?
Mini
22
แน8102026
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution will follow the results of a poll on Manifold, created after the deadline (6th of January 2026).
Get แน1,000 play money
Sort by:
Check out this market to bet on what Trump will say in Year 1 https://manifold.markets/Houston2025/what-words-or-phrases-will-trump-sa
@TheWabiSabi Would improve if you take as much control away from yourself to influence the outcome of the poll, such as by already specifying the title, options (full text) and tags.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump's net approval one year after his inauguration be at least 10 points worse than on his inauguration?
61% chance
Will Trump finish his second term?
80% chance
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
25% chance
Will donald trump survive one year as president?
96% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 50% after one year in office?
15% chance
Who will serve in Donald Trump's cabinet in his first year?
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
56% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 45% after one year in office?
37% chance
Will Trump do a good job?
If Trump is re-elected will he face a third impeachment in the first 6 months of his presidency?
9% chance