https://manifold.markets/JeffBerman/who-else-will-biden-preemptively-pa

What would qualify as try? If he declares once in office he wants to take control of them but doesn't do anything else, how does it resolve?

@RaphaelBon Good question. As it says in the description, "Resolves on news reports of official government moves to annex, conquer, control, or purchase." It's not enough for Trump to tweet he's thinking about it. Resolution requires official government action.

This market was created as a straight Multiple Choice. The backend then set it up as a Set. When I got no response from @mods to correct the error, I reworded the question to work as a Set.

What if he doesn’t seriously try to take over any new territory in his second term?

@lisamarsh Then these all resolve to NO.

@JeffBerman I think this is the wrong market type then (it should be independent multiple choice, not dependent)?

I agree. The market's initial conditions are not set up correctly. This will probably need to be N/A'd.

The "case law" for how this has gone down in the past can be seen in the market linked below:

/EmunaelLator/what-outrageous-thing-will-trump-do

To N/A a market, comment at the mods my using @ mods (with no space).