GPT5 gets 1500 elo on lmarena.ai?
31
Ṁ7502resolved Aug 10
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
The first model placed on the lmarena that is widely considered to be full gpt5 - gpt5preview or gpt5lite wouldnt count - will be considered for the resolution of this market.
Currently, the highest arena score (aka elo) for a model on lmarena has been 1443, from gemini 2.5 pro.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ948 | |
2 | Ṁ596 | |
3 | Ṁ584 | |
4 | Ṁ147 | |
5 | Ṁ116 |
Sort by:
@Samaritan 4o got general improvements. I don't think image gen is a factor for the overall leaderboard.
@jim That’s correct, it shot up before the image update, and the image can’t affect it imagefully bc the text based lmarena (the main one) doesnt let the users generate images
@jim Didn't realize that. Thanks for clarifying. Really interesting what they're able to do with the older model. I wonder if they use 4.5 to help refine 4o
Related questions
Related questions
Will GPT-5 score higher than 1350 on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard
99% chance
Will GPT-5 exceed 70% on WebArena?
76% chance
Will the GPT4+code-interpreter+search score > 1350 on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard?
49% chance
Model at 1600 Elo on lmarena before 2026?
19% chance
Llama 5 outperforms GPT 4o on LM Arena?
67% chance
First model series to cross 1500 on lmarena.ai?
Will GPT-5 have a rating of at least 2000 in chess?
4% chance
Will GPT-5 have Atari skills?
3% chance
Will GPT-5 reach a 1000 rating on Codeforces?
99% chance
GPT-5 trained with >=24k GPUs?
95% chance