Will Alex O'Connor convert to Christinanity before 2027?
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15
Ṁ5776
2027
7%
chance

if he says "i'm a christian in a way" in a context where christian is defined in a non-standard way that means he's only technically a christian in the context of that convo, but he doesn't believe god probably exists or jesus was resurrected or something, that would not be sufficient to resolve this market positively.

The market resolves YES if he converts to Christianity in a meaningful way, ie if the average person would look at his actions and would describe him as having converted to christianity.

Resolves NO in 2027 otherwise.

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Ok, would Mormonism count? It seems from his viewpoint that if he were to comvert It would be to the LDS faith and many do not consider that to be Christian.

@Mrdudeguy

The market resolves YES if he converts to Christianity in a meaningful way, ie if the average person would look at his actions and would describe him as having converted to christianity.

I guess if it comes down to that I will try to get a representativeish poll of the average person and see if they think that counts? or use one if one already exists