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[Will Brown] Will Transformative AI look like an abundance of specialized models, in August 2026?
10
Ṁ1072
2026
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

This market resolves to a poll, asking manifold users in August 2026 if they agree with this take:

#AI
#️ Technology
#Technical AI Timelines
#OpenAI
#AI Impacts
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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Related questions

Significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by 2027?
46% chance
Will World Model AIs start being used in games in early 2026 and quickly start dominating the Game Development industry?
8% chance
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
43% chance
Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?
26% chance
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4% chance
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9% chance
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22% chance
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13% chance
Will the state-of-the-art AI model use latent space to reason by 2026?
15% chance
Which AI future will we get?
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