Will Israel annex a part of the West Bank by the end of 2025?
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28
แน€2899
2026
11%
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The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of the West Bank hitherto outside its domain, before 2026.

Resolves NO on December 31st, 2025 otherwise.

See also:

/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-by
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-the-wes (This market)

/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-part-of-palestine
/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-in

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bought แน€50 NO

Israel hasn't formally annexed any of the west bank in fifty years, would be odd to start now.

bought แน€150 NO from 35% to 30%