By 2050, will humans pump significant quantities of ocean water towards the poles to reduce leap seconds?
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43
Ṁ3888
2050
1.7%
chance

This market will resolve YES if there exists a project to reduce the frequency of leap seconds by pumping water towards the poles. The project must have resulted in at least one leap second being eliminated - in other words, the earth's rotation must have sped up by at least second relative to expectations without the project.

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https://manifold.markets/ArmandodiMatteo/will-leap-seconds-still-exist-on-31

I think we'd be more likely to come up with a way of "smearing" the leap seconds across the course of the year. I remember reading somewhere that Google does this.

On the other hand, America is still on the imperial system so who knows if it would get adoption.

I'm sure this could have no devastating and unpredictable effects on ocean life and ocean circulation patterns

but why

Cannot fathom this ever making sense. 3% seems way off

@sarpanch I have a market that you might have thoughts about

What is this false confidence?

Seems like a waste of Mana to bet on 2050, but NO.

@GrahamPoulter Mana you bet is loaned back to you over time.

Three Gorges Dam cost ~$30B and changed length of the day by 0.06 microseconds.

edited

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