MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) collapse before the end of 2050?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ844
2049
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

A new paper claims:

We predict with high confidence the tipping to happen as soon as mid-century (2025–2095 is a 95% confidence range).

#Non-AI Doom composite
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:
bought Ṁ250 NO

How would you concretely measure if it collapsed? (vs. partially weakened)

Related questions

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2025?
3% chance
What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
Is the Gulf Stream going to collapse before 2030
5% chance
Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?
6% chance
Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?
74% chance
Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?
11% chance
Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
11% chance
Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?
8% chance
Will society collapse by 2040?
8% chance
Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2025?
4% chance

Related questions

Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2025?
3% chance
Will the Gulf Stream system (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation) collapse before end of 2030?
11% chance
What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
Will the North Atlantic Current collapse before 2030?
11% chance
Is the Gulf Stream going to collapse before 2030
5% chance
Will climate change decimate humans before 2050?
8% chance
Will human civilisation collapse due to climate change before 2040?
6% chance
Will society collapse by 2040?
8% chance
Will the Arctic be ice-free in summer by the year 2050?
74% chance
Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2025?
4% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout