Will Russia and Ukraine enter into peace negotiations before 12/31/24?
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Course not, Ukraine (understandably) won't want to sit down and chat with the leader of an army responsible for mass torture, rape, genocide on their soil

Would a Korean-War-style armistice count as โ€œpeaceโ€?

predicts YES

Does this resolves yes, If the negotiations are unsuccesful? If yes, is there some kind of limit, how serious both sides are?

predicts YES

@Willi Will rely on commentary in NYTimes and WSJ to determine if the negotiations seem to be serious vs. a sham. Will resolve Yes if serious even if the result is ultimately unsuccessful.