Resolves YES if a dating app with >1 million monthly active users launches a feature where an LLM simulates a conversation between two people. If this doesn't happen on or before February 14, 2026, resolves NO.
A concrete form this might take is that two LLM "clones" of actual users, each trained on actual writing from one user, have a conversation. At the end, they decide how well they like each other, and the users get matched if both LLM clones had a positive response. (This is similar to the Black Mirror episode "Hang the DJ.")
The CEO of Grindr, George Arison, thinks this will be happening soon:
Kate Linebaugh: Can you have your Wingman out there chatting for you with other profile people who then their Wingman is chatting back?
George Arison: So I've certainly thought about that and I think that will be happening.
Kate Linebaugh: My God, AI is finding your partner for you?
George Arison: I think it's almost certainly going to happen. Forget about Grindr. If Grindr doesn't do it, somebody else will.
@aristotle_135 Interesting, it looks like they've talked about it: https://slate.com/technology/2024/05/bumble-ai-dating-app-whitney-wolfe-herd.html
They haven't actually done it yet though