What will be true of Safe Superintelligence Inc.? [Add Answers]
116
Ṁ23k
2025
95%
At the start of 2026 the majority of their compute will be Nvidia GPUs
90%
They will publicly demonstrate their AI or publish a paper by the start of 2026
84%
At least 5 most recently OpenAI employees will join SSI inc by Jan 1st 2025
31%
Will launch a commercial product by the start of 2026
21%
Will be purchased by or merge with another company by the end of 2026
16%
The Tel Aviv office (or any office in Israel) will no longer be important by EOY 2025
6%
I'll work there
6%
It will invent super intelligence (judged by me)
5%
It will solve alignment
4%
It will solve alignment and invent superintelligence
Resolved
YES
It will be for profit
Resolved
YES
It will reach a billion dollar valuation by 2025

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14 Comments
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At least 5 most recently OpenAI employees will join SSI inc by Jan 1st 2025

@CaelumForder is there a word missing? Perhaps laid-off?

@MartinVlach I think what's meant is that the person joining's last employment has been with OpenAI

@MartinVlach yeah what @Big0h said, maybe they left, maybe they were fired, sabbatical etc. Just most recently it was OpenAI they were employed at

It will reach a billion dollar valuation by 2025
bought Ṁ150 It will reach a bill... YES

@CelebratedWhale

https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openai-co-founder-sutskevers-new-safety-focused-ai-startup-ssi-raises-1-billion-2024-09-04/

They’ve raised $1B at reported $5B valuation. Article also reports company is for-profit.

@nikstar holy shit, Ilya got VC rizz

It will solve alignment and invent superintelligence

Why's the chance of this exactly the same as them solving alignment?

Because both are actually 0%.

It will invent super intelligence (judged by me)

@CelebratedWhale what's the timeframe for this option?

Indefinite, I will extend the market timeframe

can it ever resolve no?

Yes, if the company is no longer pursing SI, or another company invents SI first. By create I meant invent so I'll clarify in case that was unclear to anyone. If any of the 3 ppl who voted yes understood it differently, pm me

ah thanks for clarification

bought Ṁ20 It will reach a bill... NO

WE'RE SO BACK

Will launch a commercial product by the start of 2026

@CelebratedWhale could you change by with before or by end of? "by" is ambiguous in english

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