Background

The "war on Christmas" is a cultural and political narrative that emerged in the United States, primarily referring to perceived efforts to secularize or diminish the religious aspects of Christmas celebrations. This concept has been debated in media and political discourse, with some viewing it as a genuine cultural conflict while others consider it a manufactured controversy.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if by December 31, 2025:

• Major retailers and businesses predominantly use "Merry Christmas" rather than secular alternatives like "Happy Holidays"

• Public institutions (schools, government buildings) are allowed to display traditional religious Christmas symbols without legal challenges

• There is broad mainstream media acknowledgment that Christmas's religious character has been preserved in public spaces

The market will resolve NO if:

• The trend toward secular holiday celebrations continues or increases

• Major institutions continue to use inclusive holiday language

• Religious Christmas displays remain subject to legal challenges or restrictions in public spaces

Considerations

• The concept of "winning" in this context is subjective and could be interpreted differently by various groups

• Cultural changes typically occur gradually, making definitive resolution challenging

• The outcome may vary significantly by region or community

• This market focuses on observable public and institutional practices rather than private celebrations or personal beliefs