Conditional on Trump getting/not getting Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela before midnight Christmas Eve 2025?
35
Ṁ1483
Dec 24
0.4%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, no land conflict with Venezuela
0.4%
Trump Wins Peace Nobel, land conflict with Venezuela
21%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, land conflict with Venezuela
78%
No Peace Nobel for Trump, no land conflict with Venezuela

Any strikes or troops on Venezuela land territory counts.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

I find the results very interesting so far. It would seem that people would evaluate these two things to be largely independent events...