WHERE will Starship first land on Mars?
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Plus
6
Ṁ5027
2045
65%
< 50° latitude
57%
Below -2 km elevation
50%
Southern Hemisphere
49%
Northern Hemisphere
43%
Below -3.5 km elevation
43%
< 30° latitude
35%
Erebus Montes
34%
Arcadia Planitia
34%
Schiaparelli Crater
34%
Phlegra Montes
31%
Jezero Crater
31%
Gale Crater
31%
Tharsis Plateau
31%
Valles Marineris
31%
Hellas Planitia
31%
Utopia Planitia
27%
Never successfully lands on Mars

Where will the first successful Starship landing on Mars occur? Success is gauged by not falling over or going kablooey within 15 min of touchdown.

For the named locations, landing in the vicinity would qualify (say, within 100 km), as would use of the name in official communications.

If you want some insight into SpaceX's thinking as of a few years ago, you may find this conference paper interesting.

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sold Ṁ250 Tharsis Plateau NO

Sorry about selling all my shares and messing up the probabilities, just need them manas

< 50° latitude

To clarify, does this mean between 50° north and 50° south?

Hellas Planitia

@MalachiteEagle I hope they go there! That Mars has a crater the size of Hellas is just wild!