When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?
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33
Ṁ6540
3023
0.9%
2024
4%
2025
26%
2026
14%
2027
55%
Other

It has been a long time coming. I am expecting an announcement first by GRR Martin, and then a release date thereafter. Subject of this question is the release date i.e. can actually buy it, as opposed to announcement. Dates can include Posthumous publication with input from other writers such as with wheel of time finale. I'll add some more year options as I get the budget, so "other" will shrink as the options increase, while still including "never".

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See also https://manifold.markets/DanielPugh/which-book-will-be-released-first-b?r=RGFuaWVsUHVnaA

Which book will be released first; between "winds of winter", "Doors of Stone", and "Thorn of Emberlain"?
So all three have been eagerly awaited for a long time with delays. There are some promising signs for all three in the last 6 months. At the same time many previous misleading hints have led nowhere in the past. So i am basing this on actual release of the book not just announcement that finished with editor or even announved dste that could slip here we are only concerned with , actually being available to read). Can include Posthumous release and/or with assistance from another writer.

See also this market on another long-anticipated sequel:

https://manifold.markets/MaxG/will-doors-of-stone-the-third-book-5b12f67a7403?r=VG9zc3Vw

Will Doors of Stone, the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicle by Patrick Rothfuss, be released before 2025?
17% chance. The Kingkiller Chronicle is a fantasy trilogy by the American writer Patrick Rothfuss. The first two books, The Name of the Wind and The Wise Man’s Fear, were released in 2007 and 2011. The books released in the series have sold over 10 million copies. The trilogy’s third installment ha…

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