Will Trump's tariffs war be seen to have been a success by a plurality of Americans by 2026?
10
แน428Dec 31
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if by the end of 2026, a plurality (the largest group, though not necessarily a majority) of Americans view Donald Trump's tariff policies as a success according to credible national polls (I will take the median position if multiple polls address the same question). It resolves NO if a plurality view them as unsuccessful or if no credible polls exist by the resolution date. I will resolve the question based on the polls conducted closest to the closing date of the market.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
What will happen by the end of 2025 under President Trump's tariff policies?
Will trumps tarrifs / trade war cause a recession?
What will happen to Trump's tariff war in 2025? (Add answers)
Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
92% chance
In one year from now, will Manifold think Trump's March-April tariff shenanigans were good for America/Americans?
2% chance
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
14% chance
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he have an approval rating higher than 50% one year later?
10% chance
Which countries or groups will retaliate against Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs by the end of 2025?
Will Trump lower tariffs for China by the end of July 2025?
73% chance