Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
Plus
21
αΉ34262026
92%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve exactly according to these two underlying markets:
/ManifoldPolitics/will-trump-win-the-2024-election
/EvanDaniel/will-us-tariffs-be-higher-in-2025-t
This will resolve Yes if Trump wins and tariffs go up, or if Trump loses and they don't.
This will resolve No if Trump loses and tariffs go up, or if he wins and they don't.
Get αΉ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
22% chance
Which countries or groups will retaliate against Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs by the end of 2025?
What will happen by the end of 2025 under President Trump's tariff policies?
Which tariffs will Trump introduce in 2025?
Will tariffs in Q4 2025 be below what they were in Q4 2024?
16% chance
What will be the effective US tariff rate for Chinese imports in the second half of 2025?
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
96% chance
How high will the US tariff rate get in 2025?
Will any tariffs enacted by President Trump in 2025 remain at 25% or higher on any goods from Canada by end of 2025?
59% chance
If Trump wins, what will US bond yields be at the end of 2025?
32% chance