What will be the popular vote margin between the top two candidates in the 2024 US presidential election?
18
Ṁ546Nov 7
1D
1W
1M
ALL
6%
<1,000,000
18%
Between 1,000,000 and 2,000,000
30%
Between 2,000,000 and 5,000,000
26%
Between 5,000,000 and 10,000,000
20%
>10,000,000
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@StevenK It would count as between 1 and 2 mil. Market is solely concerned with the difference between the two top popular vote tallies, independent of who wins the election.
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Open Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2024 US Presidential Election?