Will turnout for NYC mayoral election in 2025 exceed 2021 turnout?
11
แน€1143
2026
82%
chance

As a percentage of active registered voters. In 2021, it was 23.40%.

The 2025 annual report will be used as the resolution source. If the answer is clear in advance of the report, and this question is consistently trading near 0% or 100%, I may resolve it before the report comes out. I'm not entirely certain I'll be able to get an appropriate count of active registered voters that matches the annual report methodology and timing, so if it's close we might need to wait for the report. Help figuring out how to replicate that methodology in advance of the report would be appreciated.

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