Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2024 Hurricane Season?
25
Ṁ30k
Jan 1
6%
Gordon
50%
Helene
44%
Isaac
41%
Joyce
41%
Kirk
39%
Leslie
31%
Milton
31%
Nadine
25%
Oscar
18%
Patty
12%
Rafael
8%
Sara
6%
Tony
4%
Valerie
3%
William
Resolved
NO
Alberto
Resolved
YES
Beryl
Resolved
NO
Chris
Resolved
YES
Debby
Resolved
YES
Ernesto

Which 2024 tropical cyclone names will be used for hurricanes? That is, many or all of these names will be used for tropical cyclones, which of those will become hurricanes?

This is specifically about the northern Atlantic hurricane season.

#2024 Hurricane Season
#Hurricanes
#Tropical Storms
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sold Ṁ165 Gordon NO

On one hand I still have doubts if 07L will even become Gordon despite NHC forecasts of a TS, on the other 40% of EPS members shows a CAT 1 .... 😖

bought Ṁ150 Rafael NO

Very unusual season, explained here: https://www.wsj.com/us-news/climate-environment/why-this-hurricane-season-has-defied-forecastsso-far-82ed6855?st=0b5c0o5eiou95bw&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

Also this market that is related to the season making it to William:

Chris can resolve no

bought Ṁ60 Chris YES

Getting in on early for Chris assuming Invest96L assumes its name and not Invest94L or some other future storm, NHC predicting genesis at 70%. Also, GFS/00Z from this morning showing it reaching 80kt on July 4/06Z.

bought Ṁ50 Beryl NO

Love the idea! Will you be paying these out as they finish, like Alberto just did?

Yep, and I just did for Alberto! Anyone should feel free to remind me to resolve them, I might miss some.

NOAA’s forecast for this season calls for 17-25 named storms, 8-13 hurricanes, and 4-7 major hurricanes.

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