MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will any LLM be able to consistently play Akinator correctly as the user by 2028?
➕
Plus
11
Ṁ170
2028
79%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Same rules as market below, different timeframe

https://manifold.markets/GustavoMafra/will-any-llm-be-able-to-consistentl

#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
#LLMs
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
2 Comments
Sort by:
bought Ṁ30 YES

Might depend on the definition of LLM

Seems doable with an AutoGPT-style wrapper to hide the hidden secret.

Related questions

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?
15% chance
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
72% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?
66% chance
Will an LLM consistently create 5x5 word squares by 2026?
84% chance
Will an LLM beat a Super GM Bot on chess.com by 2028?
50% chance
Will an LLM do a task that the user hadn't requested in a notable way before 2026?
92% chance
Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 before 2026
64% chance
Will any LLM produce a reasonable poker simulation, as judged by Nate Silver, by the end of 2028?
54% chance
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
70% chance

Related questions

Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will an LLM beat a Super GM Bot on chess.com by 2028?
50% chance
In 2025, will I be able to play Civ against an LLM?
15% chance
Will an LLM do a task that the user hadn't requested in a notable way before 2026?
92% chance
Will an LLM (a GPT-like text AI) defeat the World Champion at Chess before 2035?
72% chance
Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 before 2026
64% chance
Will an LLM be able to solve the Self-Referential Aptitude Test before 2027?
66% chance
Will any LLM produce a reasonable poker simulation, as judged by Nate Silver, by the end of 2028?
54% chance
Will an LLM consistently create 5x5 word squares by 2026?
84% chance
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
70% chance
BrowseElectionNewsAbout