MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
When will the first at-fault Waymo death occur?
7
Ṁ294
2030

Invalid contract

Resolves to the year the first at-fault Waymo death occurs. The Waymo must be at least 50% at-fault or greater for this to resolve. This includes any death directly caused by the Waymo. I will try to use official determinations of fault, but if those are not available, I will use a consensus of credible reporting to determine who was most to blame. I won't trade in this market.

#Self-Driving Vehicles
#Automotive
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Comments

Related questions

Waymo rider harmed by anti-Waymo protestor by EOY 2025?
6% chance
How many paid Waymo rides per week at the end of 2025?
Waymo reaches 2 billion miles with three or fewer at-fault fatalities?
80% chance
Waymo achieves aviation-grade safety at 2 billion miles with 0 at-fault fatalities?
53% chance
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
Will Waymo be found at-fault in a vehicle death by the end of 2026?
24% chance
Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash?
When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)?
Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
When will Waymo launch in San Diego?
-

Related questions

Waymo rider harmed by anti-Waymo protestor by EOY 2025?
6% chance
Will Waymo be found at-fault in a vehicle death by the end of 2026?
24% chance
How many paid Waymo rides per week at the end of 2025?
Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash?
Waymo reaches 2 billion miles with three or fewer at-fault fatalities?
80% chance
When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)?
Waymo achieves aviation-grade safety at 2 billion miles with 0 at-fault fatalities?
53% chance
Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
When will Waymo launch in San Diego?
-
BrowseElectionNewsAbout