MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will Waymo be found at-fault in a vehicle death by the end of 2026?
8
Ṁ230
2026
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Waymo must be at least 50% at-fault or greater as determined by the legal system for this to resolve. This includes any death directly caused by the Waymo. I will try to use official determinations of fault, but if those are not available, I will use a consensus of credible reporting to determine who was most to blame.

#AI
#️ Technology
#News
#Business
#Self-Driving Vehicles
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
1 Comment
Sort by:

Legal proceedings concluding in 2026 or incident in 2026?

Related questions

When will the first at-fault Waymo death occur?
-
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
4% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
28% chance
How many US metro areas will Waymo serve at the end of 2025?
Waymo reaches 2 billion miles with three or fewer at-fault fatalities?
78% chance
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
2% chance
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
6% chance
Waymo rider harmed by anti-Waymo protestor by EOY 2025?
10% chance
Will Waymo serve any part of Berkeley at the end of 2025?
9% chance
How many Waymo robotaxis deployed at the end of 2026?

Related questions

When will the first at-fault Waymo death occur?
-
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
2% chance
Will Waymo's driverless robotaxi service/technology be sold or abandoned by the end of 2025
4% chance
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
6% chance
Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2025?
28% chance
Waymo rider harmed by anti-Waymo protestor by EOY 2025?
10% chance
How many US metro areas will Waymo serve at the end of 2025?
Will Waymo serve any part of Berkeley at the end of 2025?
9% chance
Waymo reaches 2 billion miles with three or fewer at-fault fatalities?
78% chance
How many Waymo robotaxis deployed at the end of 2026?
BrowseElectionNewsAbout