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Will the first 10 person, 1 year human habitat on Mars be on the surface?
Plus
10
Ṁ762100
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Once there has been a stationary location in which at least 10 people lived on Mars for at least an Earth year, this market resolves based on where that habitat was located. (It's ok if it was <10 people for short periods of time.)
Inspired by #7 here.
See also this market about a smaller habitat:
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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