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Russia attacks a NATO member before 2031?
21
Ṁ1262
2030
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

This market assesses the probability of Russia initiating a military incursion into any NATO member state before the end of 2030. An incursion is defined as unauthorized military entry into the territory of a NATO member. Resolution will be based on credible reports from major news outlets such as Reuters and the Associated Press.

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#Geopolitics
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