Russia attacks a NATO member before 2031?
29
Ṁ21272030
58%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market assesses the probability of Russia initiating a military incursion into any NATO member state before the end of 2030. An incursion is defined as unauthorized military entry into the territory of a NATO member. Resolution will be based on credible reports from major news outlets such as Reuters and the Associated Press.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia attack Baltic states (Lithuania, Latvia or Estonia) by 2030?
19% chance
Russia attacks NATO by 2030?
43% chance
Which countries will Russia invade by the end of 2030?
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
45% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
20% chance
Will Russia launch a military invasion of a NATO country by 2033?
36% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
2% chance
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
8% chance
Will Russia join NATO before 2050?
13% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine before the end of 2030?
5% chance