Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?
Plus
56
Ṁ14k2030
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if former US President Donald Trump is awarded any of the six prizes listed on https://www.nobelprize.org/ (Peace, Literature, Chemistry, Physics, Medicine or Econonic Sciences) before 1st Jan 2030, regardless of whether he accepts the award.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:
Betting YES as a hedge: https://manifold.markets/datachef/will-trump-win-the-nobel-peace-priz
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2025? [Read description]
15% chance
Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?
9% chance
Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]
67% chance
Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
7% chance
Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)
91% chance
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1% chance
Will Donald Trump be elected President in 2032?
2% chance
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
6% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
7% chance