US state/federal regulatory apparatus takes another action against Polymarket before January 1, 2026
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7
Ṁ2354Jan 2
8%
chance
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1M
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Any of the SEC, CFTC, FTC, any state Attorney General, announces either a lawsuit against Polymarket, or fines Polymarket, or announces a settlement with Polymarket, or bans US customers - anything where Polymarket must respond to a court case, or has its operations constrained in some way.
I am aware the CFTC entered a judgment against Polymarket in 2022, but it appears that they are still accepting money from US customers to bet on US elections.
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continue into 2026 - until 31 dec 2026 here: https://manifold.markets/nowayitsfree/will-polymarketcom-be-fined-by-us-g
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